
While London Prices Fall, Hertfordshire Holds Firm - Here Is What the Data Actually Says
Sponsored editorial | Research: UK Property Development, Office for National Statistics, HM Land Registry
If you own a home in Hertfordshire, the past twelve months have quietly been working in your favour.
New analysis from UK Property Development, drawing on the government's UK House Price Index, shows that Hertfordshire was the strongest-performing commuter county surrounding London between February 2025 and February 2026. While the capital's average house price fell by 3.3%, dropping from £561,072 to £542,304, prices in Hertfordshire moved in the opposite direction, rising 1.5% from £457,649 to £464,507.
That gap matters. It is not just a county-level headline. Independent data from the Office for National Statistics confirms the trend is playing out at district level too, which is where Hertstown readers actually live.
What the numbers say across the county

Hertfordshire is not one market. It is a collection of distinct local markets, and the ONS figures break that down clearly.
In Broxbourne, the borough covering Cheshunt, Hoddesdon, Waltham Cross and Goffs Oak, the average house price reached £417,000 in March 2026, up 3.7% on the same month a year earlier. That is more than double the county average growth figure. Semi-detached properties in the borough performed even more strongly, recording 6.2% growth year on year. The first-time buyer average in Broxbourne now stands at £344,000.
East Hertfordshire posted the strongest district-level performance of all, with average prices reaching £450,000 in February 2026, a 4.5% annual rise according to ONS data. Homes bought with a mortgage averaged £455,000, up 4.5% from the prior year, and the first-time buyer average climbed to £352,000.
North Hertfordshire added 2.4% in the year to April 2026, with an average price of £420,000. Semi-detached properties here rose by 3.8%.
Across the wider Hertfordshire, Bedfordshire and Cambridgeshire region, independent estate agency Proffitt and Holt recorded average property value growth of 1.8% for the year, with the borough of Dacorum, covering Hemel Hempstead and Berkhamsted, posting 4.8% growth, the second strongest of all districts tracked in the region.
How Hertfordshire compares to the counties around it

The UKPD research places this performance in sharp context. Across London's commuter belt, the picture is uneven.
Berkshire fell 1.6%. Surrey fell 1.1%. Buckinghamshire fell 0.8%. Even Essex, which recorded positive growth of 0.6%, and Kent at 0.1%, did not come close to Hertfordshire's position.
Despite being one of the more expensive counties bordering London, Hertfordshire remains 14.3% more affordable than the capital itself. That gap is the structural argument for the county's continued appeal. Buyers priced out of North London, or simply unwilling to compromise on space and quality of life, have found Hertfordshire's combination of fast rail connections, rated schools and green space to be a more compelling proposition than staying put.
What this means if you are thinking of moving in 2026
The wider market context this year is more buyer-friendly than it has been for some time. The Bank of England base rate currently sits at 3.75%, with further cuts anticipated later in the year. Mortgage product availability reached its highest level since October 2007 in January 2026, according to Proffitt and Holt's spring market update, and the number of deals available to borrowers with 5% or 10% deposits has hit an 18-year high. For first-time buyers, that is a meaningful shift.
Supply is also higher than it has been. 2026 began with the greatest number of homes for sale in over eight years. That gives buyers more negotiating power and more genuine choice, which has kept growth measured rather than speculative.
The combination of moderating interest rates, increased mortgage access and steady price growth in Hertfordshire creates a more balanced entry point than buyers faced during the post-pandemic surge. The risk of overpaying into a falling market is far lower here than in several neighbouring areas.
Goffs Oak: where Broxbourne's growth is landing

For UK Property Development, the data pointed clearly to Broxbourne as the location for their latest development. St James View in Goffs Oak is a collection of luxury family homes designed for buyers who want London access without London compromise.
Goffs Oak sits within the Broxbourne borough, the same district that recorded 3.7% house price growth in the year to March 2026 and 6.2% growth in the semi-detached market specifically. The development targets the buyer profile that is driving Hertfordshire's resilience: professionals and families who are trading up, seeking high-specification space, and are willing to invest in a market with demonstrable long-term fundamentals.
Andy Morrison, Director at UK Property Development, says Hertfordshire was the obvious choice: "The county continues to attract affluent buyers looking for high-spec family homes within easy reach of London, while also offering the lifestyle advantages that have become increasingly important in recent years. In an uneven local market, Hertfordshire has continued to outperform."
You can explore St James View, including an interactive site plan and local area guide, at stjamesview.com.
A note on the data
The county-level performance figures are sourced from the UK House Price Index for February 2026, the latest complete dataset available, and were compiled and published by UK Property Development. District-level growth figures for Broxbourne, East Hertfordshire and North Hertfordshire are sourced independently from the Office for National Statistics housing price tool, using HM Land Registry price paid data. Regional market context is drawn from Proffitt and Holt's Spring 2026 Regional Property Market Update. All figures are provisional and subject to revision by the ONS.
This article is sponsored editorial content, produced in partnership with UK Property Development. Hertstown Media maintains full editorial control over framing and the inclusion of independent data.
Got a story or development in your area? Email the Hertstown team and we will share it with the community.
© Hertstown Media Ltd.
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